[subject] + must + [verb]
[subject] + can't + [verb]
Must and can't can show that you have thought about the facts and are sure. Must means "I'm sure this is true". Can't means "I'm sure this isn't true". Both are followed by the base verb, most often be.
Must also means that something is necessary. The situation tells you which meaning it has.
For a conclusion that something is not true, use can't, not mustn't. Mustn't means "don't do it".
Use must be or can't be + -ing for something happening now.
Must and can't are for when you are sure. When you aren't sure, use might, may or could.
For a conclusion about the past, add have + past participle.